Expert analysis on what the RBA will do next Tuesday, August 12

FundMonitors.com

August 2025

Chris Gosselin, CEO of FundMonitors.com, speaks with Nicholas Chaplin, Director and Portfolio Manager at Seed Funds Management, and Renny Ellis, Director & Head of Portfolio Management at Arculus Funds Management, ahead of the RBA's August board meeting. Both accurately predicted July's decision to hold rates and weigh in on whether a cut is likely this time. They discuss key economic indicators--including unemployment, inflation, fiscal stimulus, and consumer sentiment--arguing that while conditions justify holding steady, political pressure may force the RBA's hand.

The conversation also touches on global influences, particularly rising inflation risks in the US driven by tariffs and currency movements. Both managers share their outlook for the remainder of the year, expecting at most one further rate cut, and outline how they're positioning portfolios amid uncertainty in rates, credit markets, and global economic trends.